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The signal and the noise [electronic resource] : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

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Electronic resources

Record details

  • ISBN: 9781101595954 (electronic bk.)
  • ISBN: 1101595957 (electronic bk.)
  • Physical Description: 1 online resource (545 p. : ill.)
  • Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2012.

Content descriptions

Bibliography, etc. Note: Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.
Formatted Contents Note: A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Summary, etc.: Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
Source of Description Note: Description based on print version record.
Subject: Forecasting.
Forecasting > Methodology.
Forecasting > History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Knowledge, Theory of.
Economics
POLITICAL SCIENCE
Genre: Electronic books.

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